The death toll increases tremendously but the international community is watching silently to utter shatter-down of once a strong Arab nation. According to UK-based Syrian Observatory for Human rights more than 120,000 people have lost lives within 31 months long civil movement that has turned into a full-fledged civil war. The monitoring group said that it had documented the murder of 120,296 people since the start of the revolution in March 2011. It has identified the dead figure of oppositions as well as government. Of the dead, 42,495 were civilians, including 6,365 children and 4,269 women. The remaining more than 75 thousand people all belong to either side.

What appears as far horrifying is the grave disparity between the death tolls of rebellions. Rebellions death toll is only one third of government loyalists --- 25,699 rebels and 48,880 loyalists. Among the opposition fighters, 18,122 were civilians who had taken up arms against President Bashar al-Assad’s regime, 2,022 were soldiers defected from the army and joined the opposite front and 5,375 were foreign jihadists. Among the loyalists, 29,954 were army soldiers, while 18,678 were members either of the pro-regime popular committees or the paramilitary National Defense Force! The group has also added that the actual figures might be far higher as it is not able to document any single death despite its strong network inside the country.

So, based on the above figure, it appears that government loyalists’ casualties are so high. I am not a military expert but it is understandable that untrained mob that has received no military trainings is really hard to stand against a well-equipped and trained soldiers. There are rare incidents to observe that a military with strong establishment be overruled in the battle field with mob unless it collapsed from inside. In the case of Syria, there are not signs to denote that serious leakage has happened in the military ranks despite considering the defection. Moreover, the military establishment of Syria was on the strongest among neighboring countries. It should have stood strongly and dealt serious blow to armed oppositions. With all government power and resources at its hand, why the Syrian soldiers have appeared weak against rebellions? It is highly unlikely that civilians with no military experience challenge a government. We observed in all Arab countries that experienced the so-called Arab Spring the military establishments were not abolished. In the case of Egypt, the military remained neutral between protesters and the regime. Now it is so strong that easily ousted the elected government and dragged him to court of law. In Bahrain, the government put an end to civil uprising once and for all though majority of the people stood against the regime. In Saudi Arabia, no one even dared to march into streets to protest against monarchy ruling.

In another case like that of Yemen and Libya, the contexts are different. Both countries are dominated with tribal culture. In Yemen, there are big tribes that government indeed cannot exercise much influence on them. Weapons are largely at disposal and armed groups can any time create problem for the government. Despite all that the regime was not changed completely.

In case of Libya, all may agree that without direct involvement of foreign countries, the collapse of Moammar Gaddaffi’s regime was too difficult, if not impossible. It was the no-fly zone and deployment of Western military trainers that ended decades-long life of the regime.

Thus, the Syria is different from both countries. However, Allawite sect and particularly Assad family has dominant presence in the government, but there was not armed group to create headache for the Damascus. To some extent, all sects had presence in government with degrees of differences, because the regime is secular and does not differentiate on the basis of sect and religion. It is highly possible that Christians may dream the time of President Assad if it is overruled by current combination of Jihadists. Even now Kurd communities have been targeted maybe due to open and democratic culture that Kurds follow. If the Christians have still remained intact is largely due to tactical retreat in order not to lose the support of Western countries that largely support the uprising. It is possible if the Christian communities are targeted that will deprive armed groups from generous support that flow from north.

Anyhow, the question is why the military casualties were so high despite all the above advantages that the regime had against rebellions? I, again, persist that mobs and common civilians who hold arms for the first time in their lives cannot stand against such strong military establishment.

The only probability that remains strong is to closely watch the power of militants. They could kill more than 29 thousand well-trained soldiers! If it happens at any small country, the government would have collapsed. Jihadists are poured from across the world in the Syria. They have received trainings somewhere in Africa or Asia under strong networks. They have the capability to overrule many countries if the world stay and watch them silently.

Therefore, all involved countries should notice that dust of Syrian war will one day blind eyes too. It certainly will spill over. As last week, 19 militants groups declared that anyone who participates in the Geneva conference will be punished – the very move shows they are confident that they can win over the government. If countries that are presently supporting Jihadists and radical groups within the oppositions do not reassess their policies, all will one day regret.