Editor in Chief: Moh. Reza Huwaida Friday, April 19th, 2024

The Strategic Agreement and the Challenges Ahead

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The Strategic Agreement and the Challenges Ahead

The U.S launched war on terror in Afghanistan has cost huge devotion in the last ten years of bloodshed, particularly in the last couple of months. The recent attacks by Afghan soldiers on U.S. troops and the massacre of 17 Afghan civilians, allegedly by an army sergeant, and the inadvertent burning of copies of the holy Koran in Bagram airbase were about to change the whole political dialogue that the U.S has been focusing on in the last couple of years.

Even with many controversies on the ground, finally the Strategic Partnership Agreement between Afghan government and the United States was announced last week that boosted the spirit of U.S politicians and Afghan government since this process decides the future of two nations. The draft agreement was signed on the basis of certain commitments by the U.S in the region; to support Afghanistan for a decade beyond the scheduled withdrawal of combat troops at the end of 2014 is one of the prime requirements, both economically and financially.

Under the two years talks, the deal is not yet finalized. This will still need the sign of Afghan parliament and president Karzai to end the tension in the White House. There are still some critical contents lacking in the agreement that can cause the strategic agreement to be postponed. But the night raids agreement and the transferring of Bagram imprisonments to Afghan forces by the U.S have changed the whole political dialogue so quickly that president Karzai accepted the Strategic Agreement even before the presidential election despite of other key challenges on the ground that need to be concerned before any other move.

The United State's strongest power in terms of political intervention in Afghanistan was the night raids and the Bagram imprisonments of their ten years achievements, which could make the Afghan government and Taliban much flexible in every terms of recommendation to achieve its political and strategic goals.

The night raids operation and Bagram imprisonments led by U.S forces could decrease the level of insecurity:
1. The night raids were led by the U.S troops which would not forgive any insurgent movement or Taliban to walk away alive but they have upset the Taliban and the Karzai government
2. The Bagram imprisonments contain Taliban's and other extremist group's top listed fighters who are considered to be extremely dangerous for the country's political stability and peace.

The risk of transferring the night raids operation and Bagram imprisonments to the Afghan forces:
3. The Taliban will now openly continue their operation in every part of the country, just like the recent attacks being carried out in Kabul and others provinces because the night raids operation being transferred to Afghan forces will have to go according to president Karzai's desire and they can't take any decision on their own.

4. The Bagram prisoners are very likely to be released after the responsibility is completely handed to Afghan forces just like the three others suicide bombers who were sent to Turkey for the higher education and other top listed extremist groups being released from the Kandahar Prison.

Afghans must perceive the nature of this critical act between U.S and Karzai's government that this would likely spoil the very achievements being acquired in the last ten years of bloodshed. The dialogue on night raids and imprisonments and transition to Afghan forces is manifest for every Afghan citizen because the strategic agreement cooperation between U.S and Afghan government has not any positive impact on the lives of individuals. This agreement is based for the good of only two nations in particular.

Thus, the agreement with the United States for a long-term intervention in the country beyond 2014 bears lots of questions to the minds of individual, as the time doesn't demand, people keep blindfolded their eyes and keep shut themselves to debate on the sense of right and wrong going on in their country between Karzia's government and the United States. And those who can stand against the tense situation are already shut with some bucks. This is the beginning for another war.

Most interestingly, both the parties to shut people's mouth state that the deal offers a path towards a permanent peace in the region by the withdrawal of U.S. and NATO troops, but also the preservation of an Afghan government that resists with Islamic extremism, protects fundamental rights and is able to defend itself and its people from further violence and Talibanized rule!!

Keeping in mind the challenges ahead of this country, most of Afghans are with more confidence that their governmen

won't survive and that there are reasons that the U.S must remain in the country, invest and participate in the election that will choose a successor to Afghan people by the end of 2014 and onward.
Even though the security responsibility, night raid operation and Bagram imprisonments are transferred to the Afghan government, the U.S troops must assure that they continue their military and economic engagements at every point of time since it is quite for sure that the Afghan forces are not capable of having a good footprint of NATO troops at night raids and other similar operations. This could obviously discourage Taliban's leaders and their supporters in the so-called country where "The Haqqani Network" organizes its operation and from a strategy of waiting for the withdrawal of NATO troops so that they can further spoil the ground to gain their evil desires.

Similarly, perceiving the deal winning approval in time for a NATO Summit in Chicago in the next month, the challenges in Afghanistan will have to be discussed in broader outlines. NATO has decided to decrease the Afghan army and police from a strength of 350,000 later this year to 230,000. A huge reduction based on cost indicates a huge threat to country's security situation and political stability.

In addition to that, Afghanistan will also need a long-term NATO air support. Yet the country has none of its own as well as trainers and Special Forces must be capable of targeting Al-Qaeda and responding to emergency cases in their absence. Following the fact, a continued U.S commitment to Afghanistan will be more important and necessary in terms of stabilization.

Therefore, the most important follow-up to the new agreement must come from Mr. Obama. His actions will be important to reinforce his commitment in Afghanistan's future beyond 2014. Whilst Afghanistan is in the process of strategic engagement with its allies and presidential election, there should be renewed efforts from the United States in reaching a better political agreement with the insurgents as per the challenges ahead. 

Abdul Samad Haidari is the permanent writer of the Daily outlook Afghanistan. He can be reached at abdulsamad.haidari96@gmail.com

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