Editor in Chief: Moh. Reza Huwaida Friday, April 26th, 2024

Speedier Withdrawal

|

Speedier Withdrawal

The weariness about the war in Afghanistan is really becoming evident with each passing day. The most can be seen within the attitude of decision makers and troops of international community engaged in Afghanistan. Most of them believe that earlier withdrawal would help their countries extract themselves out of the situation in Afghanistan, which would be a better approach for pacifying the growing anti-involvement public opinion and better future of Afghanistan; however, it is not sure whether the later objective (italicized) would be achieved. But does it really matter for them?

They say "YES" and they try to show that they will remain committed to supporting Afghanistan in so many ways but the irony is that their priorities are suggesting otherwise. At the same time, it should also be mentioned that the most Afghanistan needs today is related to its security; once its security is guaranteed, international community can support it in many other ways.

Keeping in mind the history and socio-political scenario in Afghanistan, one can conclude that the current relative stability has been earned after a lot of hard work. So, it must be cared for and all the indications of worsening of situation in the country must be dealt with, seriously.

In the ongoing transition period there are indications of the worsening situation which must be considered as harbinger of decisive changes in near future and appropriate measures must be carried out to guide them towards better destinations. Currently, the security situation in Afghanistan has been deteriorating and the example of current assaults in four different provinces of the country simultaneously; their magnitude and impacts, leaves no doubt about it.

Even the capital Kabul is not safe and terrorists can target even the safest of the areas with the greatest comfort. Insecurity has been one of the major problems Afghanistan has been facing for the last few decades and if there are numerous other problems in the country most of them can be associated with this basic problem.

The situation of peace and tranquility in Afghanistan and withdrawal of international troops are important matters regarding the future of Afghanistan. Though the entire peace and tranquility cannot be thought of being based on the international troops yet it would be of great importance for Afghanistan's future strategy for security if it is confirmed that when and how international forces withdraw from the country.

On the other hand it has its own disadvantages. Afghanistan's capacity has not been mature yet to guarantee security of entire country; it would need support, assistance and equipment from the international community at least for another decade.

Afghan security forces both in quality and quantity do not suffice to shoulder the security responsibilities on their own with security threats rising with each passing day. US, earlier, announced that US troops would be withdrawn completely from Afghanistan till 2014; however, that announcement has been controversial since its very pronouncement.

Moreover, there have been indications every now and then that further haste may be introduced in the schedule. Apart from US, some other countries are also considering withdrawing forces earlier. Current announcement by Australian Prime Minister, Julia Gillard, of early withdrawal of Australian troops is one of the same indications.

She announced on Tuesday, April 17, 2012, that Australian troops would withdraw from Afghanistan by the middle of 2013, which is a year earlier than the scheduled time. There are about 1,550 Australian troops involved in Afghanistan that does not depict a very large number but would have impact on the overall security scenario in the country.

There have been decisions by different countries to have earlier withdrawal in recent times. France has already announced withdrawal by the end of 2013 and there is pressure on other NATO countries to make withdrawal hastier.

While announcing earlier withdrawal Julia Gillard has also made commitment to remain concerned regarding the security in Afghanistan. She said, "We continue to see steady gains in the fight against the insurgency." After the announcement of security transition in Uruzgan, which she expects Afghan Presiden Karzai to make soon, it would take 12 to 18 months to pull the Australian troops out.

She also mentioned, "We would have completed our training and mentoring mission with the 4th Brigade. We will no longer be conducting routine frontline operations with the Afghan national security forces… I am now confident that Chicago will recognize mid-2013 as a key milestone in the international strategy."

It should be noted that urgency shown by involved countries in Afghanistan is also because of some recent incidents that resulted in the death of foreign troops by their Afghan counterparts or their juniors. Moreover, there have been certain incidents that have also shown a growing frustration in foreign troops fighting in Afghanistan.

In fact, the overall Afghan war is becoming very much notorious and the involved countries want to get out of it so as to remain undisturbed by its ugliness; but without keeping in mind that the future may make them more notorious if the result of the war turns out to be uglier.

On the other hand, US that has been leading the war, seems to finalize the so-called "End Game" in Afghanistan. It has been striving to reach to certain conclusions before withdrawing its troops from Afghanistan completely. However, it should be noted that a certain level of haste has been displayed by US in this regard.

It earnestly wants to reach to an agreement with Taliban and decide a strategic deal with Afghan government before the Chicago summit that has to be held in May this year. It has also showed optimism about the state of affairs in Afghanistan and the training of Afghan security forces. However, too much optimism in this regard is not justified at all and the current incidents will support the argument. The need of the time is to see the situation as it stands; to analyze the scenario objectively and to call a spade a spade.

The unilateral and strict withdrawal schedules can never help the war against terrorism and may have severe consequences on the Afghan security situation. US and NATO must develop coordination with the involved countries and must reach to unanimous decision but at the same time it is important that the withdrawal process should be made conditional and should be able to compensate for the challenges of the objective conditions. Urgency and a fixed schedule in this regard may not help the situation at all.

Dilawar Sherzai is the permanent writer of the Daily outlook Afghanistan. He can be reached at dilawar.sherzai@gmail.com.

Go Top