Editor in Chief: Moh. Reza Huwaida Monday, April 29th, 2024

Need for Reforms versus Government Collapse

There are enough people that express their concerns about the destiny of Afghan government after 2014, when international forces will no longer have combat role in Afghanistan. Some – as the chairman of British Labor Party- have said that it may turn into a failed state. A failed state is characterized by the following characteristics: 1) loss of control of its territory, or of the monopoly on the legitimate use of physical force therein, 2) erosion of legitimate authority to make collective decisions, 3) an inability to provide public services, and 4) an inability to interact with other states as a full member of the international community.

Afghan government with the help of international community has been making efforts to establish its writ across the country but unfortunately these bids have not become a success. Insurgent groups- the Taliban, Hezb-e-Islami and Haqqani Network- still hold sway in some large parts of Afghanistan.

Observations and reports from the fields indicate that the Taliban provide alternative judicial ruling in some areas of the country. As foreign forces are transitioning the responsibility for security to Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF), the Taliban may wish to strengthen themselves to challenge the ability of ANSF.

If there is not any political settlement, they will definitely continue to challenge the Afghan government with the support of their regional sponsors. Since Afghanistan has signed a strategic partnership agreement with the United States, some neighbors have got a grudge to nurse against Afghan government and may support the Taliban in one way or the other. They may also try to create other headaches as well through some other agents and fifth columns that they have in Afghanistan.

It is to be said that Afghan people do not want their current government to collapse. But unfortunately it is so weak and inefficient that has not been able to maintain the hearts and minds of the people by failing to provide public services and by being plagued by rampant corruption.

What Afghan people want is to reform this government and strengthen it. But President Karzai's resistance to calls for reforms and lack of enough attention on the part of international community to the reforms and fight against corruption is disappointing. Afghan government with the current level of corruption, and inability to provide public services will definitely collapse sooner or later.

So there must be a new beginning with reforms. If the direct presence of international community failed to establish the writ of Afghan government and the strategic partnership agreements will not be successful if the proposed reforms by some major political coalitions and political parties are not accepted and implemented.