Though the future of reconciliation process and the socio-political scenario of Afghanistan do not seem very much encouraging yet the Afghan government and the Western allies seem very much sure of their success and they do not seem to be disturbed much by the uncertainty of the scenario. In fact, there is an atmosphere of distrust and ambiguity within the different major players and the incidents point at a hazy picture of the prospects.

US seems to be finalizing the war against terrorism and, at the moment, is leading the negotiation with the Taliban. There have been recent reports of talks with Hizb e Islami and US thinks that the process will lead to the peaceful end of the war and will guarantee a stable future for Afghanistan. Keeping the discussion about the stable future aside, one can not be sure of the success of the war against terrorism as there are evident examples of its divergence for the planned objectives.

The recent claims of US President Barack Obama in the State of the Union address about the war in Afghanistan also seem to be more optimistic than realistic and seem to neglect the complications in the process. The statements regarding Afghanistan said, "From this position of strength, we have begun to wind down the war in Afghanistan.

10,000 of our troops have come home. 23,000 more will leave by the end of this summer. This transition to Afghan lead will continue, and we will build an enduring partnership with Afghanistan, so that it is never again a source of attacks against America." US President Obama seems very much confident of fulfilling his promises of withdrawing the forces from Afghanistan and completing the transition process, but he seems to forget that it is not a matter of fulfilling just the promises and gaining the favor of the people for re-election, it is a matter of future of Afghanistan and it must be dealt with in accordance to the requirements of time.

The transition in Afghanistan must be conditional and must change in accordance to the situation not on the basis of a strict schedule. It must be dependent on whether the Afghan forces are able to shoulder the responsibility of security of the country appropriately or not.

Yes, it is a fact that US President has promised to 'build an enduring partnership with Afghanistan, so that is never again a source of attacks against America,' but that is only possible when Afghanistan has a stable political system and strong mechanism to control terrorist networks.

Partnerships may help Afghan government but at the moment the important concern is what is going to be the form of the reconciliation process and the form of political setup in Afghanistan. Currently, there are concerns shown by the opposition parties in Afghanistan about the form of the political setup and the authoritarian nature of the system.

They claim that the setup is very much centralized and neglect the appropriate representation of different major groups in the country. In fact, they have also mentioned that they have been neglected a part in the reconciliation process, which they deserve to great extent as they have been a part of conflict against Taliban.

It is better option to be optimistic about the future of the country, but it does not mean the optimism must overshadow the facts and figures. The real optimism can be established at a time when there are necessary and concrete measures taken to solve the issue. In the case of reconciliation and transition process and the future of the Afghan political setup, optimism can be established only after there are concrete measures taken to ensure better results, which at the moment can not be seen anywhere.